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In order to fight trade with China, President Trump has violently imposed tariffs and now wields another weapon: uncertainty. However, the US financial market and the business community have suffered greatly and are calling on the Trump administration to clarify the policy direction. According to Bloomberg News, Trump has created an “uncertainty economy” that has puzzled economists.
“I don’t remember seeing this before,” said Obersfeld, chief economist of the outgoing International Monetary Fund (IMF). He said that according to mainstream views, uncertainty is not conducive to economic growth, hinder investment, and disrupt In the financial market, “no president wants to deliberately add uncertainty to the decision-making process of the private sector.”
Trump’s intention is to use uncertainty to curb corporate overseas investment and to make the trade negotiating countries’ economic turmoil. Do you hate uncertainty? Please come here to set up a factory to help make the United States great again.
Bloomberg pointed out that this practice has not yet received any results, but it has produced many side effects. The most obvious evidence is that US stocks have fallen more than 3% on the 4th. Some factors are that the US-China trade war is short-lived but lacks The specific details of the war.
Uncertain prospects have also prompted companies to shelve investment decisions, from agricultural states with the most devastating tariffs to industrial towns. The Fed’s Beige Book pointed out that the optimism of US companies has declined and trade is a big factor.
Davis, a professor at the University of Chicago Booth School of Business, said: “Trop uses the uncertainty as a tool for trade warfare, causing crises and injuries… both US and foreign interests are damaged.”
The long-term capital allocated by foreign investors to the US last year was 40% lower than a year ago. Melenon, the head of the international investment organization representing foreign companies in the United States, also said that the real foreign direct investment (FDI) flowing into the United States in the second quarter of this year was even negative, the sixth time since 1982, based on current data.
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